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N.B.A. 2020-21 Predictions: LeBron vs. Luka for M.V.P.


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N.B.A. 2020-21 Predictions: LeBron vs. Luka for M.V.P.

Our panel predicts a big year for the Nets and the Pelicans’ Zion Williamson, a surprise from Damian Lillard, a Lakers repeat and a fierce battle among the rookies.

Credit…Gary A. Vasquez/USA Today Sports, via Reuters

  • Dec. 22, 2020, 3:00 a.m. ET

The last time the sports staff of The New York Times and assorted friends gathered to make the annual set of N.B.A. preseason predictions, we got some things right.

Ahead of the 2019-20 season, several of us thought that Giannis Antetokounmpo of the Milwaukee Bucks would repeat as the N.B.A.’s most valuable player. (Yawn.) Others predicted that the Oklahoma City Thunder would have a surprisingly successful season after a summer in which they traded Paul George to the Los Angeles Clippers, and that the Memphis Grizzlies’ Ja Morant would win the league’s Rookie of the Year Award over Zion Williamson of the New Orleans Pelicans.

But no one predicted that the Los Angeles Lakers would win the championship — let alone advance to the N.B.A. finals. (The Clippers were the unanimous choice to come out of the West.) Or that the Lakers’ title run would come after the arrival of something called the “coronavirus,” which would suspend the season for four months and before resuming in a spectator-free bubble at Walt Disney World outside Orlando, Fla.

The point being: Predictions are difficult, and sometimes impossible. But that is not about to stop us from trying again.

Here is a look at some of our highly unscientific picks and prognostications for the season ahead:

(The New York Times does not permit its staff to vote for the official N.B.A. awards.)

The predictors:

  • Jonathan Abrams, sports reporter

  • Harvey Araton, Hall of Fame sportswriter

  • Elena Bergeron, assistant sports editor

  • Jonah Bromwich, staff writer

  • Scott Cacciola, sports reporter

  • Sopan Deb, sports reporter

  • Evan Easterling, senior staff editor

  • Shauntel Lowe, N.B.A. editor

  • Marc Stein, Hall of Fame sports reporter

Credit…Pool photo by Kevin C. Cox
  • Abrams: Anthony Davis (Lakers)

  • Araton: Luka Doncic (Mavericks)

  • Bergeron: LeBron James (Lakers)

  • Bromwich: Damian Lillard (Trail Blazers)

  • Cacciola: Stephen Curry (Warriors)

  • Deb: LeBron James (Lakers)

  • Easterling: Luka Doncic (Mavericks)

  • Lowe: LeBron James (Lakers)

  • Stein: Luka Doncic (Mavericks)

Why Curry? “He’s back. The Warriors won’t be title contenders without Klay Thompson. But they’ll be in the thick of the playoff race with Curry putting on nightly shows.” — Cacciola

Why Lillard? “The smart pick here is Kevin Durant or Luka Doncic, but I love Lillard, everyone else loves Lillard and if the Blazers crack the top five in the West, he’s got a great chance at it.” — Bromwich

Credit…John Raoux/Associated Press
  • Abrams: Obi Toppin (Knicks)

  • Araton: Immanuel Quickley (Knicks)

  • Bergeron: LaMelo Ball (Hornets)

  • Bromwich: Isaac Okoro (Cavaliers)

  • Cacciola: Tyrese Haliburton (Kings)

  • Deb: James Wiseman (Warriors)

  • Easterling: LaMelo Ball (Hornets)

  • Lowe: LaMelo Ball (Hornets)

  • Stein: Deni Avdija (Wizards)

Why Ball? “More offense will run through Ball than rookies on teams that are closer to contention, like James Wiseman in Golden State, or joining ready-made tandems, like Anthony Edwards, who’ll play alongside Karl-Anthony Towns and D’Angelo Russell in Minnesota. In limited preseason action, he showed signs his passing ability will translate to the N.B.A., a skill that will be augmented by playing with Gordon Hayward and Devonte’ Graham.” — Easterling

Credit…Mark J. Terrill/Associated Press
  • Abrams: Anthony Davis (Lakers)

  • Araton: Anthony Davis (Lakers)

  • Bergeron: Anthony Davis (Lakers)

  • Bromwich: Anthony Davis (Lakers)

  • Cacciola: Anthony Davis (Lakers)

  • Deb: Anthony Davis (Lakers)

  • Easterling: Joel Embiid (Sixers)

  • Lowe: Anthony Davis (Lakers)

  • Stein: Anthony Davis (Lakers)

Credit…Harry How/Getty Images
  • Abrams: Dennis Schröder (Lakers)

  • Araton: Caris LeVert (Nets)

  • Bergeron: Danilo Gallinari (Hawks)

  • Bromwich: Spencer Dinwiddie (Nets)

  • Cacciola: Spencer Dinwiddie (Nets) or Caris LeVert (Nets)

  • Deb: Caris LeVert (Nets)

  • Easterling: Tyler Herro (Heat)

  • Lowe: Caris LeVert (Nets)

  • Stein: Caris LeVert (Nets)

Why the best sixth man will come from the Nets: “Whichever guard — LeVert or Dinwiddie — Coach Steve Nash chooses to bring off the bench is going to produce big numbers for a team that has all the components for a title run.” — Cacciola

  • Abrams: Lonzo Ball (Pelicans)

  • Araton: Tyler Herro (Heat)

  • Bergeron: Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets)

  • Bromwich: Deandre Ayton (Suns)

  • Cacciola: Deandre Ayton (Suns)

  • Deb: Rui Hachimura (Wizards)

  • Easterling: OG Anunoby (Raptors)

  • Lowe: Tyler Herro (Heat)

  • Stein: Christian Wood (Rockets)

Wild Predictions for Houston:

“John Wall will have a bounce-back season, leading a James Harden-less Houston Rockets team to fringe playoff contention.” — Abrams

“It’s not that wild: John Wall is going to ball out in Houston. He seems fully rehabbed and highly motivated to show out, and the fresh start will help him bounce back from a rough two years off the court.” — Bergeron

Credit…Kathy Willens/Associated Press
  • Abrams: Monty Williams (Suns)

  • Araton: Erik Spoelstra (Heat)

  • Bergeron: Erik Spoelstra (Heat)

  • Bromwich: Steve Nash (Nets)

  • Cacciola: Steve Kerr (Warriors)

  • Deb: Steve Nash (Nets)

  • Easterling: Michael Malone (Nuggets)

  • Lowe: Monty Williams (Suns)

  • Stein: Steve Nash (Nets)

Why Steve Nash? “The Nets and the Clippers remind me of each other a bit: superteams assembled in the last normal off-season, with sky-high potential and possibly combustible chemistry. The Nets will overcome the inevitable Kyrie Irving-related distractions and Nash will get credit for making it all run smooth-ish.” — Bromwich

Credit…Michael Reaves/Getty Images
  • Abrams: Rob Pelinka (Lakers)

  • Araton: Sean Marks (Nets)

  • Bergeron: Rob Pelinka (Lakers)

  • Bromwich: Rob Pelinka (Lakers)

  • Cacciola: Rob Pelinka (Lakers)

  • Deb: Daryl Morey (Sixers)

  • Easterling: James Jones (Suns)

  • Lowe: Rob Pelinka (Lakers)

  • Stein: Rob Pelinka (Lakers)

Wild Prediction: “Tired of paying mega-salaries for meager results, Michael Jordan cashes out as majority owner of the Hornets to go all-in on NASCAR.” — Araton

Credit…Mark J. Terrill/Associated Press
  • Abrams: Milwaukee Bucks

  • Araton: Miami Heat

  • Bergeron: Milwaukee Bucks

  • Bromwich: Milwaukee Bucks

  • Cacciola: Milwaukee Bucks

  • Deb: Milwaukee Bucks

  • Easterling: Milwaukee Bucks

  • Lowe: Milwaukee Bucks

  • Stein: Brooklyn Nets

Wild Predictions: What happens to James Harden?

Cacciola: The Rockets will wait until the trade deadline to deal James Harden. What’s the rush?

Deb: James Harden remains in Houston all season.

Easterling: The Indiana Pacers trade for James Harden.

Credit…Jason Miller/Getty Images
  • Abrams: Detroit Pistons

  • Araton: Detroit Pistons

  • Bergeron: Detroit Pistons

  • Bromwich: Knicks

  • Cacciola: Cleveland Cavaliers

  • Deb: Chicago Bulls

  • Easterling: Cleveland Cavaliers

  • Lowe: Cleveland Cavaliers

  • Stein: Cleveland Cavaliers

Wild Prediction: “In the preseason, I watched the Cavaliers surprise Indiana twice, and then totally missed them losing to the Knicks in their next two. That means I’m unjustifiably excited about the Cavs, particularly Collin Sexton and Isaac Okoro. My wild, semi-informed prediction is that Cleveland will be fun to watch for the first time since LeBron left, and — why not? — will sneak into a play-in game.” — Bromwich

Credit…Gerald Herbert/Associated Press
  • Abrams: Collin Sexton (Cavaliers)

  • Araton: Zion Williamson (Pelicans)

  • Bergeron: Christian Wood (Rockets)

  • Bromwich: Talen Horton-Tucker (Lakers)

  • Cacciola: Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets)

  • Deb: Devonte’ Graham (Hornets)

  • Easterling: Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets)

  • Lowe: Obi Toppin (Knicks)

  • Stein: Zion Williamson (Pelicans)

Why Williamson? “Fully unleashed on the league.” — Araton

Credit…Chris O’Meara/Associated Press
  • Abrams: Sixers over Bucks

  • Araton: Heat over Nets

  • Bergeron: Bucks over Heat

  • Bromwich: Nets over Bucks

  • Cacciola: Celtics over Nets

  • Deb: Bucks over Nets

  • Easterling: Heat over Nets

  • Lowe: Nets over Bucks

  • Stein: Heat over Nets

Credit…Harry How/Getty Images
  • Abrams: Lakers over Trail Blazers

  • Araton: Lakers over Jazz

  • Bergeron: Lakers over Mavericks

  • Bromwich: Lakers over Clippers

  • Cacciola: Lakers over Clippers

  • Deb: Lakers over Warriors

  • Easterling: Lakers over Mavericks

  • Lowe: Lakers over Clippers

  • Stein: Lakers over Clippers

Credit…Kim Klement/USA Today Sports, via Reuters
  • Abrams: Lakers over Sixers

  • Araton: Lakers over Heat

  • Bergeron: Lakers over Bucks

  • Bromwich: Lakers over Nets

  • Cacciola: Lakers over Celtics

  • Deb: Lakers over Bucks

  • Easterling: Lakers over Heat

  • Lowe: Lakers over Nets

  • Stein: Lakers over Heat

Why the Lakers will win again: “I will never again bet against LeBron, even if he runs for president.” — Araton

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Source: Basketball - nytimes.com


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