‘Gem of a bet’ – Why Maguire is Man Utd’s dangerman & how foul play could be worth a flutter in Leicester v Arsenal game

SUNSPORT’S Weekend Wager uses in-depth stats and cutting-edge analysis to unearth the best value bets ahead of the sporting weekend.

Joining our very own Will Pugh this week is football journalist Kweku Afari and betting expert Sam Rosbottom, who will be looking for the best value on a packed two days of action.

There’s plenty at stake when Tottenham host Manchester United as Ange Postecoglou looks for his THIRD win of the season over the Red Devils.

There’s also some great bets to be found in Arsenal’s trip to Leicester as they pray for a new goal scorer to emerge.

And punters can get some tasty tips for the Betfair Ascot Chase, as well as the winner of this season’s Super League Grand Final.

Check out all our best bets for the weekend below:

TOTTENHAM VS MAN UTD

KWEKU AFARI: “There’s two selections I like in this game. United to win by exactly one goal, 4/1.

“Plus Manuel Ugarte to be carded, 9/5.

“I’ve put them both together: 11/1.

“Ugarte is United’s most booked player in the Premier League with eight yellows.

“The second most in the league, and that’s from 13, so I expect him in the book.

“In terms of Spurs, they have already lost 13 games this season. 12 of those 13 have been by only one goal.

“They’re always in games. I expect United to win but I expect it to be close.”

WILL PUGH: “I’m going Harry Maguire to have a shot and receive a card. That’s 9/2.

“If you only like one, Maguire to have a shot is 8/11.

“And Maguire to receive a card is 11/5.

“Maguire has had five shots in his last eight league starts and has received four yellows in his last six starts.”

SAM ROSBOTTOM: “I just can’t see United beating Spurs. This will be the third time they’ve played this season, Spurs won 3-0 and 4-3 in the cup.

“United have conceded at least two goals in each of their last four league games against Spurs.

“For me, Spurs to score over 2.5 goals at 5/2 is a solid bet.”

LEICESTER VS ARSENAL

KWEKU AFARI: “Pretty straightforward. I’ve got Arsenal to win to nil, 11/10.

“Arsenal are unbeaten in their last seven away league games.

“Leicester have lost their last four league home games to nil.”

WILL PUGH: “Havertz is out. Their only real goal hope is Martin Odegaard.

“So I’ve got Odegaard goal or assist at evens.

“Leicester, no clean sheets in 17 league matches. Second most goals conceded.

“Of Arsenal’s available players, Odegaard has had the highest XG of 0.27 across his last 30 games.”

SAM ROSBOTTOM: “There’s something I really like here.

“James Justin to commit two-plus fouls is 11/4.

“He’s committed eight fouls in his last four appearances. Trossard will play left wing, he’s been fouled 15 times in his last 10 games.

“Miles Lewis-Skelly has been fouled 13 times in his last five games. I think it’s a great bet.”

BETFAIR ASCOT CHASE

SAM ROSBOTTOM: “We can’t split Corbetts Cross and Pic D’Orhy at the moment. Both market favourites at 2/1.

“L’Homme Presse is at 5/2 and Blue Lord is 10/1.

“Then Le Patron at 16/1 and Flegmatik at 100/1.

“Pic D’Orhy won this race last time and isn’t going to Cheltenham, they’re targeting Aintree.

“Corbetts Cross going for the Gold Cup at Cheltenham. It’s difficult to pick between them.”

SUPER LEAGUE

SAM ROSBOTTOM: “It’s very similar to the regular season outright.

“For Grand Final winners, Wigan are up there at 11/8.

“Warrington are 5/1 and St Helen’s are 5/1.

“Hull KR are 11/2. It’s an interesting one, expect these outright odds to shift around as results come in.”

Source: Soccer - thesun.co.uk