THE Premier League will be decided on the final day – if history repeats itself.
Arsenal currently top the table by a point above champions Manchester City, who have a game in hand to bridge the gap.
Liverpool are still in the race but find themselves three points adrift following derby defeat to Everton.
But, according to sensational Opta data, all three title-chasing sides could be set to finish the season level on 86 points.
That is if City, Liverpool and Arsenal all match their results from last season against their remaining opponents.
City have the most games remaining with five, against Wolves, Tottenham, Nottingham Forest, Fulham and West Ham.
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The champions beat Wolves, Fulham and West Ham last season but drew against Forest and lost to Spurs to take ten points.
Arsenal beat Tottenham, Bournemouth and Everton but lost to United meaning the nine points there would take them to 86 points.
And Liverpool took the maximum 12 points after wins over West Ham, Spurs, Villa and Wolves.
So matching results would leave the top three all tied and the title would be decided on goal difference.
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The only time the Prem has ever been won on goal difference was in 2012 thanks to Sergio Aguero’s iconic last-gasp winner against QPR.
Currently, Arsenal have the best goal difference, leaving them in pole position for a first title win since their 2004 Invincibles year.
They are eight goals clear of Man City, and 15 ahead of Liverpool.
Big weekend
If history is anything to go by, it could be a dramatic weekend.
Liverpool are away at West Ham in the early Saturday kick-off. A repeat of last season will see them triumph over the Hammers.
Arsenal play arguably their trickiest remaining game when they make the short trip to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday.
But last season they cruised to a 2-0 win against their bitter rivals.
The biggest shock might be at Nottingham Forest, where Man City play on Sunday afternoon.
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The Citizens drew 1-1 last time and a repeat would blow the title race wide open again.
Tactics Exposed: Why Kai Havertz is Arsenal’s most important player
By Dean Scoggins
KAI HAVERTZ endured a difficult start to life at the Emirates after his big-money move from Chelsea.
But has now well and truly found his feet.
The German, 24, has found his scoring boots in recent weeks, including his double against his old club.
But Havertz has been providing much more than goals in recent months.
In fact he has become Mikel Arteta’s most important player as Arsenal go for the title.
That’s after the Spanish boss made a genius tactical switch.
Click here to read all about it.
Or to watch the brilliant video in full on YouTube.
Source: Soccer - thesun.co.uk
